Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.025147 0.027631 0.030098 0.032729 0.035448 0.038171 0.041099
2025-02-02 0.020293 0.024264 0.028334 0.032789 0.037504 0.042323 0.047602
2025-02-09 0.016298 0.021145 0.026256 0.031979 0.038150 0.044556 0.051664
2025-02-16 0.013944 0.019460 0.025420 0.032216 0.039648 0.047450 0.056187
2025-02-23 0.011843 0.017824 0.024448 0.032129 0.040636 0.049653 0.059829
2025-03-02 0.009955 0.016253 0.023404 0.031835 0.041285 0.051387 0.062866
2025-03-09 0.008428 0.014967 0.022581 0.031696 0.042021 0.053143 0.065854
2025-03-16 0.006787 0.013394 0.021321 0.030975 0.042036 0.054045 0.067851
2025-03-23 0.005769 0.012514 0.020816 0.031068 0.042917 0.055859 0.070802
2025-03-30 0.004633 0.011366 0.019918 0.030647 0.043170 0.056937 0.072906
2025-04-06 0.003500 0.010087 0.018783 0.029890 0.042994 0.057497 0.074403
2025-04-13 0.002326 0.008563 0.017245 0.028586 0.042136 0.057252 0.074971
2025-04-20 0.001884 0.008216 0.017327 0.029382 0.043884 0.060132 0.079233
2025-04-27 0.001242 0.007410 0.016787 0.029435 0.044804 0.062127 0.082576
2025-05-04 0.000553 0.006216 0.015625 0.028659 0.044709 0.062941 0.084572
2025-05-11 0.000247 0.005646 0.015285 0.028885 0.045778 0.065060 0.088013
2025-05-18 0.000033 0.004971 0.014732 0.028802 0.046446 0.066696 0.090884
2025-05-25 NaN 0.004262 0.014057 0.028521 0.046848 0.068000 0.093356
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003681 0.013520 0.028388 0.047405 0.069463 0.095990
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002924 0.012600 0.027699 0.047250 0.070074 0.097631
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002539 0.012271 0.027787 0.048038 0.071772 0.100498
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002014 0.011609 0.027385 0.048194 0.072712 0.102480
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001449 0.010748 0.026662 0.047924 0.073128 0.103845